// #marryatvillehs — 2006-11-23
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00:00:10 Join: Simulacrum ([email protected]) to #MarryatvilleHS
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04:54:13 Topic Is: Go the 'chroom!
04:54:13 Set By: (aSH^) on: Wed Nov 15 00:43:27 2006
05:32:59 Join: Simulacrum ([email protected]) to #MarryatvilleHS
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12:13:30 Join: aSH^ ([email protected]) to #marryatvillehs
12:29:18 <aSH^> hmmm exam time at 6:30pm today
12:47:29 <Carson> funness :(
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13:01:54 <aSH^> yeah
13:03:43 <aSH^> Assume the prior probability of a fire is 10% (F). If there is a fire, the smoke detector (A) triggers with 90% probability. Sometimes, the detector also activates when there is no fire. This happens with probability 10%. The dog barks (B) with probability 80% if there is a fire. Otherwise, if the neighbour is in the backyard (N), the dog barks with probability 40%.
13:03:44 <aSH^> In case the neighbour is present and there is a fire, the dog barks with certainty. The prior probability for the neighbour being present is 50%. Finally, if nothing happens, the dog gets bored and barks anyway. This event has probability 20%.
13:03:44 <aSH^> What is the posterior probability that there is a fire given that we hear the dog barking?
13:06:15 <Carson> ...
13:06:20 <Carson> who cares, you're on fire?
13:06:38 <aSH^> there is only a 25% chance you are on fire
13:10:33 <aSH^> its for an AI course
13:10:40 <aSH^> thats the section on "reasoning with uncertainty"
13:48:31 <Carson> http://unrelated.net.au/uploads/pie-chart.jpg
14:10:58 <aSH^> hahaha
14:54:54 <JarZ> rofl i love that pie chart, carson
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15:04:12 <JarZ> ahhh spam emails are so hilarious
15:04:16 <JarZ> subject: Lots of pleasure waits for you right after you take this medicine
15:04:21 <JarZ> Subject: Lots of pleasure waits for you right after you take this medicine
15:04:21 <JarZ> Date: Wednesday, 22 November 2006 1:02 PM
15:04:21 <JarZ> Order it on-line and impress your girlfriend with your wonderful shooting I think, yes.
15:04:21 <JarZ> It is obvious that a man lasting longer is the man women prefer. Don't try once again - solve this problem!
15:04:24 <JarZ> Try it now!
15:04:26 <JarZ> http://anfef.com/y/vm/
15:04:28 <JarZ> This is your chance to build relationship of your dreams with your partner.
15:04:30 <JarZ> gah
15:04:36 <JarZ> only meant to paste the first line, that's the funniest part
15:04:42 <JarZ> Order it on-line and impress your girlfriend with your wonderful shooting I think, yes.
15:04:44 <JarZ> bahahaha
16:30:36 Join: JarZ_ ([email protected]) to #marryatvillehs
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